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Thursday 3 January 2013

How Technology Can Transform Our World

 Bono The musician and activist explains how technology provides the means to help us eradicate disease and extreme poverty

To say that Bono is the lead singer of the rock band U2 is like saying that Thomas Edison invented the record player: it leaves out a lot of biography. The 52-year-old Irishman (born Paul Hewson) is also a technology investor and an activist who cofounded the ONE and (RED) organizations, which are devoted to eradicating extreme poverty and AIDS. He has spent years urging Western leaders to forgive the debts of poor nations and to increase funding for AIDS medicines in Africa.

It’s 2013, and millions of people are still short of food or proper medical care. 
Have technologists overpromised? 
The tech that’s been delivered has been staggering in its measurable achievements. For example, antiretrovirals, a complex 15-drug AIDS regimen compressed into one pill a day (now saving eight million lives); the insecticide-treated bed net (cut malaria deaths by half in eight countries in Africa in the last three years); kids’ vaccinations (saved 5.5 million lives in the last decade); the mobile phone, the Internet, and spread of information—a deadly combination for dictators, for corruption. 
But to maximize the massive effect technology can have, you need a network of efforts, a system of interventions, supported by citizens who share social capital. That’s what drives substantial progress sustainably. There is no silver bullet to ending extreme poverty and disease, no magic technology. That takes commitment, a lifetime of it, plus resources, political will, and people standing up to demand it. Technology provides the means, however. 
What should be the role of technology in making a better world? Are some problems beyond its reach, like poverty?
Technology has already helped tackle extreme poverty in Africa. Extreme poverty is the empirical condition of living on under $1.25 a day. Nelson Mandela once demanded we be the “great generation” to beat extreme poverty, noting how we have the technology and resources to achieve this extraordinary vision. And we do. We could achieve it by 2030, maybe before. The digital revolution that we are living through, the rapid advances in health and agrotechnology—these things have become core weapons in responding to Mandela’s clarion call. They enable people to get on with it themselves, to fight their way out of the condition they find themselves in. In Africa, things are changing so rapidly. What’s been a slow march is suddenly picking up pace in ways we could not have imagined even 10 years ago. Innovations like farmers using mobile phones to check seed prices, for banking, for sending payments … to the macro effect we saw with the Arab Spring thanks to Facebook and Twitter.
But people can use technology for bad as well as good. The social systems and the social capital within networks must be strong and positive to nurture a progressive use of technology. Let’s be honest. 
“With data informing our course we can describe the kind of world we want to live in and then without airy-fairyness or wishful thinking go after it.”
You admired Steve Jobs. Did he make the world better or just make nice computers?
I think a large part of the reason Apple and Steve Jobs have beguiled so many is that they are a gigantic company that put greatness ahead of the bottom line, believing that great profitability would follow in the long term. Steve was an extremely tough deal maker, and if that was the only side you saw, I can imagine that a more fearsome profile would emerge. But the reason why I, and others who got a glimpse of him personally, were such believers was his clear thinking. Great ideas to me are like great melodies. They are instantly recognizable, memorable, and have some sort of inevitable arc. In the music world, it’s hard to imagine there being a better melody to “I want to hold your hand.” In the tech world, it’s hard to imagine there being any better form or function to a lot of Apple’s products. It’s as if they’ve always existed. It’s that kind of inevitability Steve could spot. With Jony Ive’s designs, with Avie ­Tevanian’s operating systems, etc. In amongst the noise, the yearning for that clear tone, or in Apple’s case, pure white. 
He told me he would love to spend more time on philanthropy and would get to it one day. He wasn’t interested in half doing it, as is obvious with his personality. Still, Apple very quietly has contributed more than $50 million to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, TB, and Malaria through the sale of (RED) iPods, Nanos, etc. They are the biggest corporate donor. Tim Cook is passionate about this stuff. By attaching themselves to what is, in recessionary times at home, an unpopular emergency (people dying in far-off places because they can’t afford AIDS drugs), he and Apple have really helped to keep the heat on the issue.

Bono and Senator Barack Obama at the National Prayer Breakfast in Washington in 2006.
If you had a budget equivalent to the one that put astronauts on the moon, what problems would you try to solve?
There’s an exciting thought. The Apollo program in its day was 4 percent of the federal budget. All U.S. overseas assistance is just 1 percent, with 0.7 percent going to issues that affect the poorest people. I believe that extreme poverty is the biggest challenge we have. That term is a complex one, but on many aspects, we know what works. For example, with Apollo-level resources, you could finish the job on HIV/AIDS. Get rid of it, done. Malaria too. You could vaccinate every kid against deadly diseases we in the West hardly think about. You could boost farming productivity in Africa, which is twice as effective at reducing poverty as anything else. Lastly, you could kick-start electrifying Africa. Electricity means small businesses can function and hire people, medicines can be refrigerated, kids can study after the sun sets. Electrifying Africa would inspire the kind of economic development that would mean, eventually, they wouldn’t need our 4 percent or 1 percent. Aid is just a bridge, but where there are troubled waters, it’s needed.
I should add that without fighting corruption at the same time as spending the Apollo money, you’d be in danger of tossing it up to the moon. Corruption is deadly, but there’s a vaccine for that too—it’s called transparency. Daylight. It’s much harder to rip people off when they know what’s going on. We can gather and disseminate data in all sorts of ways, giving a whole new meaning to the word “accountability.”
You’ve worked closely with Democrats and Republicans. How can they get more done in a politically polarized atmosphere? 
For nearly 15 years I’ve regularly been a pest in Washington, D.C., first an amateur with some smart company, now a pretty professional one with an army of the best and brightest at the ONE Campaign. From the start I was told how the Capitol had never been so polarized, and how nothing is getting done, parties are pounding each other out of effectiveness, etc. Fifteen years hearing the same thing. But every time I’ve been there, I’ve met with politicians who are willing to rise above that, to reach across the aisle to get things done when it comes to the most vulnerable people on our planet. Their plight lifts people above the negativity, reminds officials why they came to Washington in the first place—to get real things done that help people help themselves. In the last two elections, the world’s poor and foreign aid have not been used as a pawn in the political game. In fact, they’ve been the one thing that candidates can actually agree on. That didn’t just happen. A more savvy media and public demanded it.
How can President Obama best improve the state of the world in his second term?
President Obama has already set a strong course on strengthening food security in poor countries, and he’s built on President [George W.] Bush’s legacy on AIDS. Both of these initiatives need to be accelerated. With global leadership to promote partnerships with poorer countries, and with the right resources, we can end a few things that just don’t belong in the 21st century. Like AIDS, like malaria, like polio. 
The president has also championed transparency in the oil, gas, and mineral extraction sector, shedding much-needed light on some of the murkier dealings that go on. Where there is great wealth under the ground in some of the poorest countries, the benefits belong in the hands of all those who live there.  
Electrification—that’d be a good use of his leadership. Poorer countries have the advantage of being able to leapfrog, as they’ve done with communications infrastructure. They can do this with more efficient, cleaner forms of tech like geothermal, hydro, solar, carbon capture.
Do you despair? If not, why not?
Like any parent, I wonder what kind of world we’re leaving behind. But I’ve also been blessed to be involved in some great movements that helped bring major challenges—like debt or AIDS or malaria—from the margins to the mainstream. These social movements are the things that make the real difference, people from different walks of life coming together to stand up for what they believe in.  Whether they do it by marching, by writing, by tweeting, by posting, by singing, or by going to jail. It’s hard not to be an optimist when you see what happens when people join forces.
Right now, though, I think things do hang in the balance. I just heard about a report that predicts the world by 2030 will be fracturing further as rising populations and consumption patterns compete over scarce natural resources. That’s a real recipe for conflict and instability. But it’s avoidable. I’m confident we can overcome the worst trends—but only if we get even better at building innovative networks to do more of what works and less of what doesn’t. 
How might this happen? Collecting more data and more open data so we can drill down further on knowing what to do. Continued technological innovations, no question, on more and more fronts. The connectivity of social media, harnessed for action, not apathy. Hundreds of thousands marched in the “Drop the Debt” campaign, and now an extra 51 million kids in Africa are going to school because of monies freed up by debt cancellation—it’s a staggering number. That wouldn’t have happened without people across the globe demanding it. The tools that technology provides mean we know more and we understand more about previously-thought-unsolvable problems. With this data informing our course we can describe the kind of world we want to live in and then without airy-fairyness or wishful thinking go after it. It’s the greatest opportunity that has ever been offered any generation. Which is the truth. Wow.



Apple returns policy was most searched in christmas holidays



Spoilt kids and unclear branding could have been the cause of Apple's returns policy the most searched for over the holiday period, according to a report from Experian Marketing Services.
In data which was sent to the Telegraph, Experian noted that searches for Apple's returns policy topped the lists.
Apple returns policy most searched for over holidays -
Apple's policy was followed by Argos, Harrods, Debenhams, and Toys R Us respectively. Searches for returns policies were up 250 percent compared to the same time last year, but Christmas 2012 was also record breaking for online retail.

Experian Marketing Services' digital insight manager, James Murray, said in a statement that the return policy searches could be as a result of brand confusion - for example, parents mixing up an iPad Mini and an iPod Nano, which, although they sound similar, are entirely different products.
"This has been the busiest Christmas ever for online retailers with 30% growth in visits since last year," Murray said. "Boxing Day and increasingly Christmas Day itself are key days when consumers go online to spend Christmas money on gifts they didn't get or organise returns for unwanted gifts".
On Christmas and Boxing Day, brats were largely ridiculed for complaining about the colour of the Apple products they unwrapped. Although many of the twits later claimed to be joking, it's entirely possible supply was tight for the colour of their choice and they headed online for a replacement.


Bosses can not demanding employee Facebook access anymore


Employers in two American states will now be banned by law from demanding access to their employees' social media accounts.
Previously, workers were not protected by law if employers demanded access to their password-protected social networks, including Mark Zuckerberg's data mining operation, Facebook. 
Over 400 measures, including others that dealt with topics from consumper protection to healthcare, were proposed and enacted in 2012. The social network protection law and some others took effect 1 January, 2013, while more will be made law later this year.
Although workers are exempt from bosses bullying their way into privately held accounts, the laws do not extend to protecting against information found publicly or otherwise on social networks - they just prevent private access. This means openly tweeting about a boss's intrusive web snooping could still land workers in trouble.
Those who appreciate tinfoil headwear should also keep in mind the data held by these networks is still accessible for law enforcement.
Meanwhile, in Michigan, schools can be punished in any cases where they refuse to admit students because they did not want to provide personal information like passwords for private social networking and email accounts. 


Moving Convergence Forward of Health Care and Technology


A/V systems integrators and health care professionals are still trying to figure out exactly how they can work together. While it won’t go down in history with the moon landing, we recently saw one giant leap forward in that effort in our nation’s capital, when InfoComm International and the National eHealth Collaborative (NeHC) got together for the first Technology Crossroads Conference.
The endeavor brought together some of the best minds in the A/V world with their health IT counterparts and got each side to think more about how they can help each other move forward.
The conference was about “the realities of making technology work and the realities of why it’s important,” says David Labuskes, new executive director and CEO of InfoComm. He spent the bulk of his career working on health care technology projects, he says, adding more impetus to the pairing.
“We can move now from the discussion of the Health Information Exchange to body monitoring in the OR,” says Labuskes. “All of it is bringing data alive to improve health care.”
Former InfoComm boss Randal Lemke, who retired at the end of 2012, pointed to health care as a market that’s ripe for A/V involvement, saying it could grow $2.6 billion annually by 2015.
NeHC CEO Kate Berry sees the conference as a chance to bring about “new opportunities for collaboration” between the groups.
“We’re at the point of transformation in health care,” says Berry. “Health IT, A/V and the Health Information Exchange are critical to that.”

Time to Embrace Technology

Technology is becoming an ever-more-critical piece of health care, even though there are still some holdouts who cling to the days of writing prescriptions on notepads and asking patients to fill out the same forms repeatedly, says Leslie Kelly Hall, senior vice president for policy at Healthwise.
“This will get more complex,” she says. “We have to learn languages we’ve never heard and work with systems we don’t know.” Hall estimates about 96 percent of health care happens at home and asks, “Shouldn’t we have better tools there?”
Hall criticized health care providers who continue to operate “isolated networks” behind the scenes. “Shame on you,” she says. “It’s not to the advantage of patients to work that way. The continuing notion of silos of data is irresponsible.”
The main drivers in the move to embrace technology in health care, says Rhode Island Quality Institute CEO Laura Adams, are “the toxicity of the payment system and the poor design of the delivery system.”
“There’s more technology involved in getting my Biggie at Wendy’s than in getting a prescription in my hand,” she says. “People are already in control of their own health, so we need to engage in their lives. We fail on some of the most basic communication structures in health care, and bad systems bring out the worst in good people. We’re struggling mightily to get everything digital.”
Even the organ donor transplant network remains largely manual, says Bryan Sivak, chief technology officer for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. The same is true of the blood bank, although work is being done to make both electronic through the HHS Innovates program.
“The message (about technology) has been conveyed, but we’re still finding pockets of resistance,” says Sivak. “It’s about convincing people it’s OK to share information and release it. There’s a big gap between subject matter expertise and the ability to do anything about it. We have to start explaining things in a different way to bring more people into the tent and make health data as usable as other types of data.”

Who Will Own 2013 In HR Technology?2012 to 2013 comparison


1987:  Bloom & Wallace and PeopleSoft Founded

1987 was a big year in the history of HR technology.  That’s the year I founded my solo consulting practice, but Bloom & Wallace warrants little more than a footnote.  Much more important in the history of HR technology, 1987 was the year that PeopleSoft was founded by Dave Duffield and Ken Morris.
PeopleSoft changed the way that HR leaders thought about technology by giving them the ability, without programmer involvement, to add a data element here, write a report there, and use the software directly without a data entry shop.  But PeopleSoft also changed the way in which software company cultures were created and sustained, and that may have been just as important as the contributions that PeopleSoft made to the technical foundations of HRM software.
Building upon the foundations of their last company, Integral Systems, Dave and Ken’s PeopleSoft challenged the then conventional wisdom that only mainframes could run the HR and payroll applications of large organizations.  With hindsight, we now know that the then dominant pre-PeopleSoft vendors, including Tesseract, Genesys, Integral, MSA, Cyborg and more, went from dominant to chopped liver practically overnight — and they never recovered.
All these code bases and their historical peers live on in the back rooms of various aggregators for their still meaningful maintenance revenue streams.  But their heyday ended when PeopleSoft changed customer expectations, buyer behaviors, and our perceptions of how much fun it could be to hang out with an enterprise software vendor.
For all the bad habits that PeopleSoft’s flawed data and process designs brought to HRM for the last twenty-five years, we learned a ton from this company and its software architecture.  And many customers (not to mention industry watchers) shed a tear when Mr. Ellison succeeded in his hostile takeover of PeopleSoft in 2005.

2012:  Workday’s Year

When someone writes the history of the next twenty-five years of enterprise computing, I think that they’ll mark 2012 as just as important as 1987 for HR technology.  It would be nice to think that they would be celebrating the 25th year of my solo consulting practice, but no such luck.  Rather, 2012 will go down in history as the year that SAP and Oracle became more concerned with newcomer Workday than with each other — and with considerable  justification.
From the surprise Saturday announcement in December 2011 of SAP’s acquisition of SuccessFactors, and the strategic about-face that marked their all-in commitment to true SaaS,  to the very much expected acquisition of Taleo by Oracle in early 2012, we’ve been struck by how much of the coverage of these two bastions of enterprise software has been about the real or perceived threat of that upstart Workday.  And you only had to listen to Larry Ellison’s comments on Oracle’s last quarterly earnings call to know just how focused he is on Workday as a competitive threat.
Not only have discussions/coverage of Workday dominated the HR technology landscape this year, but discussions of Workday have included everyone from financial analysts to cloud aficionados, and from SaaS pioneers likes Salesforce.com (with whom Workday is deeply partnered) to the computer science super geeks.  And Workday customers — let’s not forget that customers are the folks who really matter in the HR technology industry — have added their voices to this discussion, supporting Workday with their enthusiasm, published case stories, and intense collaboration.

2013:  Who’s On First?

But what about the future?  What stories will dominate the large/global market, core HRMS/TM and related HR technology conversations in 2013?
  • Will Workday’s momentum continue to build as  industry observers and buyers appreciate more fully the considerable moat they’ve built with their architectural innovations, organizational culture, customer collaboration and expanding functional footprint?
  • Will customers residing on aging ERP/HRMS platforms consider fully their true SaaS options, including Workday, when they realize that moving to their current vendor’s next generation platform will be just as much of a new implementation as moving to Workday or another vendor’s next gen HRMS/TM, especially if they plan to get any business value from these investments by revisiting their business rules, processes and data designs?
  • Will Oracle commit themselves completely to a true SaaS future and to all the customer benefits beyond TCO savings that go with it?  With they bring all of their considerable resources to bear on driving a true SaaS future for their extensive and maturing Fusion product line?  Will they achieve the deep integration needed across their Taleo and Fusion assets?
  • Will SAP deliver a true SaaS HRMS/TM which includes an all-in SaaS payroll, going beyond hosting their on-premise payroll application?  Will Employee Central’s evolving design and broadening functionality be deeply integrated with SFSF’s talent management capabilities?
  • Will Infor’s investments in their own true SaaS HRMS/TM capabilities emerge as a major contender for larger/global organizations?  Will they achieve the architectural innovations, deep integration, customer collaboration, and pricing advantages needed to challenge the market leaders?
  • Will ADP’s (with Vantage) and Ceridian’s (with DayForce) investments in their own next generation true SaaS HRMS/TM for larger/global organizations demonstrate strong enough TM and global capabilities, as well as deep enough integration and architectural innovation to compete head to head with their ERP/HRMS competitors?
  • Will it matter that vendors that offer only an HRMS/TM when the installed base of ERP/HRMS customers look around for their next generation move?  Will that move be limited to the next generation from ERP/HRMS vendors or will buyers be willing to piece together their HRMS/TM of choice from one vendor and the rest of their ERP suite from another?
  • And what about a range of other potential HRMS/TM market disruptions?  Will Microsoft get serious about HRMS/TM and buy one of the more capable middle-market providers?  Will a non-US-based HRMS/TM vendor land on our shores with real market impact?  Will Kronos go all-in with a true SaaS, full-scale, global HRMS/TM for larger organizations?  Will SilkRoad or SumTotal or Brand X deliver deep integration, scale up for larger/global organizations, advance their architectural and build-out commitments to include a global payroll engine or ???  Will any of these vendors — or others not mentioned here — achieve an architectural or product vision breakthrough that we won’t know about until we see it?
Of two things we can be certain.  2013 is not going to be dull in our neighborhood at the intersection of HRM and IT.  And InFullBloom appreciates your readership and will do our best to an eye on these developments and many more as 2013 unfolds.

Closer Look at Teachers' Technology Shortcomings


One of the biggest concerns about how technology is being used in the classroom today focuses on what some see as a fundamental breakdown in the system: many teachers aren't comfortable with technology, and are unsure how to weave it into their instruction.
The National Association of State Boards of Education probed this issue in a recent report, as part of a larger examination of how schools can keep up with students' tech knowledge and expectations.
I wrote about the release of that report, "Born in Another Time: Ensuring Educational Technology Meets the Needs of Students Today—and Tomorrow," but I'm turning back to it because it offers some revealing details on what state board officials, as well as faculty at teacher colleges and educators themselves, see as shortcomings in preparing teachers to use technology. The authors argue that many teacher-preparation programs fail to give teachers the tech skills they need, partly because they instead choose to focus heavily on things like pedagogical theory—in general, different philosophies about how teachers convey knowledge to students.
How much catching up on technology do teachers, and the system that produces them, have to do? The report's authors cite the following examples:
• The vast majority of faculty members and students in teacher preparation programs say that their programs require one stand-alone technology course, as opposed to integrating technology and pedagogy through the program and clinical experiences (the authors see integration as the preferred way to go);
• Teacher-prep programs tend to emphasize using technology to boost educators' "personal productivity," through the use of tools such as word processing and spreadsheets, and for use in presenting information, as opposed to giving aspiring educators the tech skills needed to collect, analyze, and utilize data in their instruction;
• Less than a quarter of educational technology faculty said they had taught their students how to use technology to analyze student achievement data, a skill that the authors say is crucial to tailor instruction to individual students' needs; and
• New teachers are no more likely to blend technology into their practice than their veteran peers—which is surprising, the authors say, "given that the vast majority of those entering the profession are digital natives."
Those findings come from a number of sources, including an analysis conducted by researchers at Indiana University, which included a survey of teacher-college faculty and their students; and a separate survey of teachers and administrators released by Walden University, an online university, and Grunwald Associates, a Bethesda, Md.-based research and consulting company.
How can policymakers help educators become more sophisticated users of technology? State officials, in cooperation with licensing boards and others, should revamp standards for new teachers to make sure they receive more preparation in technology and online instruction, including through clinical, or hands-on classroom work and observation, the report says. It adds that states should revamp professional development to include a greater focus on technology, provide sufficient funding for school technology coaches, and do more to weave virtual instruction into existing teacher mentoring and induction programs. 

What to expact in 2013? Cheaper calls, TV Gets Smarter


Personal technology never stops changing. Some new products and services are game changers, like Apple’s iPhone and iPad. Others are clever twists or refinements, like each successive version of Google’s Android platform, which gets better and better. Others are bold gambles, like Microsoft’s new Windows 8, which hopes to combine both a tablet experience and a traditional PC environment in one operating system. But there’s always something new, from large companies and small ones.
So here are a few things consumers will likely see in technology in 2013. Many of these began to take shape in the past year, but will be stronger trends in the new year.
Tablets vs. PCs
While the iPad line, including the new Mini, continues to dominate the tablet market, Android-based tablets are finally gaining traction. But the bigger story is that tablets will continue to erode the role of laptop PCs.
Consumers are using tablets for more and more tasks formerly performed by laptops. Traditional computers aren’t going away—they still do certain tasks, like heavy content creation, better than tablets. But consumers seem, at the very least, to be replacing their laptops less often and spending discretionary funds on tablets, which are gradually replacing another device: the dedicated e-reader. Many analysts had expected Windows 8 to halt or reverse this trend, and it may yet do so. But early indications aren’t encouraging for that outcome.
Integrating Hardware and Software
Meanwhile, another big trend is emerging: Apple’s model of one company making the entire device—hardware, operating system, core apps and an online ecosystem—is beginning to take hold elsewhere. In October, Microsoft unveiled its first computer, the Surface tablet. The company will follow it up as soon as this month with a second, more powerful version. I wouldn’t be surprised if Microsoft also made its own smartphone this year.
Google is also moving in Apple’s direction. It now sells three devices—a smartphone and two tablets—under its Nexus brand. These products are built by partner companies, but designed by Google. Now that Google owns its own hardware company, Motorola Mobility, I expect it to get deeper into the integrated model. Motorola, freshly stocked with former Google executives, is reported to be building advanced new hardware devices tightly integrated with Android.
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What to Watch: In addition to its Apple TV interface, left, Apple is expected to try to further simplify television viewing.
Rethinking Television
Samsung and others already make TVs that can connect to the Internet, and stream Internet video and run tablet-type apps, without any special set-top box. But I find them clumsy, and their “smart TV” functions haven’t taken off with consumers yet. This may be the year they do.
The biggest expectation is that Apple, which has been working hard on the problem, will finally unveil its long-rumored TV this year, with the goal of greatly simplifying the TV and smoothly melding Internet and cable content. Many, including me, thought it might appear in 2012, but the company reportedly ran into difficulties in negotiating with media companies for content rights. Meanwhile, Apple’s tiny, $99 Apple TV box, while still a relatively small seller, is gaining popularity, partly because the company has built into its laptops, tablets and phones a feature called AirPlay which can use an Apple TV box to wirelessly stream audio and video to a TV.
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Republic Wireless offers the Defy XT with a $19 unlimited plan.
Cheaper Smartphones and Plans
Smartphones are everywhere in the developed world, but most are still expensive—around $200 after a carrier subsidy that requires a two-year contract. And the monthly service fees can easily approach or exceed $100, especially if you use a lot of data, which is the very essence of a smartphone’s purpose.
There are already some smartphones, usually older, less capable or less popular models, available for $99 or $49 or even free with a contract. But I expect to see better smartphones at lower prices in 2013, especially those running the dominant Android platform, and the handsome, but low-selling Windows Phone platform from Microsoft.
In addition, some companies are beginning to offer really cheap monthly plans. One example: Republic Wireless, which offers unlimited voice, text and data for $19 a month on a small, Android phone, the Motorola Defy XT, using older software that has been modified to make voice calls where possible over Wi-Fi instead of a costlier carrier network.
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The $700 Astell & Kern AK100 plays much higher fidelity digital music.
Costlier, Better Music Players
Audiophiles and recording artists have never much liked the compressed music files that now fill every iPod and smartphone. They complain that the richness of the original recording is lost because the song files are optimized for minimum space and download time, and because they are often made from CDs, not from the master studio tapes.
So in 2013, there will be a push to sell a new kind of portable music player that can handle high quality music. The Korean electronics company, iRiver, has introduced the Astell & Kern AK100, a $700 player that can play much higher fidelity digital music. The legendary rocker Neil Young is backing a second venture, Pono, which is doing something similar. In addition to the price, there’s another downside: The files can be 10 to 20 times as large as standard digital songs, so many fewer tracks fit in a given amount of memory.
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The Basis, part of the crop of new wristband monitors, measures resting heart rate.
Fitness and Health Monitors
In 2012, sensor-packed wristbands like the Nike+ FuelBand and the Jawbone Up were introduced to measure how many steps people take in a day, how well they sleep, and other indicators of health and fitness. I expect this trend to continue in 2013, in different forms and with more sophisticated sensors. One new product, the Basis, is a watch with sensors on the back that measures resting heart rate. All of these devices tie into mobile apps or Web-based dashboards to track progress and offer advice.
Internet-Controlled Everything
Another trend I expect to see in 2013 is an expansion of apps and devices that let people wirelessly control many everyday objects, from light bulbs to appliances, using low-powered networks and smartphones or tablets. And we’ll likely see more smart devices with such intelligence built in, similar to the Nest intelligent thermostat, which is Wi-Fi powered.
These are just a few of the trends likely to mark the consumer tech landscape in 2013. Others will also be prominent, most notably the continued reliance on the cloud, or remote servers, to store content and work collaboratively. One thing is sure: There are certain to be developments that will surprise us all, and can’t be forecast here.